Monday, September 15, 2008

Fed Rate Forecast Cut 8/16/2008

Fed Fall 2008 Rate Cut

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is scheduled to meet again this week and it's predicted that rates will be cut again. It's commonly thought that a cut in interest rates by the FOMC brings with it a decline in home mortgage rates.

This is not always true.
If you are considering obtaining a new loan, the time to pick up the phone is now.
Historically, the time to make an application to capture the best rate may be before an FOMC meeting, not after. While it's true that mortgage rates may improve immediately following a rate cut, they can just as quickly get worse.

Don't lose out by playing the waiting game.

Why do home loan rates often rise following rate cuts by the FOMC? The reason is that Fed rate cuts can be seen as inflationary and bond traders hate inflation. It is the bond market that sets long-term interest rates.

After two recent FOMC meetings, interest rates rose significantly after a rate cut. First when rates were cut in September of 2007 and then again following the inter-session emergency meeting in January 2008. In each case the price of bonds deteriorated quickly and in the span of two days, interest rates increased up to .75% off of their low points.

If you would like to know how you could benefit from refinancing or are in the process of buying a new home, make sure you have your application in process. This way, you can capture the best interest rate when it is available. If you wait, you may cost yourself the best chance to have the lowest rate.

Contact me today for a FREE evaluation of your home loan. Not calling me could cost you hundreds of dollars each month.

No comments: